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The 21 Countries Most Likely To Default

 

#1 Greece

#1 Greece

Image: ap

Cumulative Probability of Default: 57.7%

Current 5-year Mid CDS (bps): 1037.2

 

#2 Venezuela

#2 Venezuela

Cumulative Probability of Default: 51.8%

Current 5-year Mid CDS (bps): 1008.9

 

#3 Ireland

#3 Ireland

Image: Wikimedia Commons

Cumulative Probability of Default: 43.0%

Current 5-year Mid CDS (bps): 656.9

#4 Portugal

#4 Portugal

Image: AP

Cumulative Probability of Default: 40.1%

Current 5-year Mid CDS (bps): 578.6

 

#5 Argentina

#5 Argentina

Image: AP

Cumulative Probability of Default: 34.7%

Current 5-year Mid CDS (bps): 584

#6 Ukraine

#6 Ukraine

Image: AP

Cumulative Probability of Default: 27.7%

Current 5-year Mid CDS (bps): 445

 

#7 Dubai

#7 Dubai

Dubai’s exclusive Palm Jumeirah development

Image: AP

Cumulative Probability of Default: 24.7%

Current 5-year Mid CDS (bps): 402.7

 

#8 Lebanon

#8 Lebanon

Image: AP

Cumulative Probability of Default: 21.9%

Current 5-year Mid CDS (bps): 345


#9 Iraq

#9 Iraq

Image: ap

Cumulative Probability of Default: 21.1%

Current 5-year Mid CDS (bps): 330.6

#10 Egypt

#10 Egypt

Image: ap

Cumulative Probability of Default: 21.1%

Current 5-year Mid CDS (bps): 331.0

#11 Bahrain

#11 Bahrain

Cumulative Probability of Default: 20.3%

Current 5-year Mid CDS (bps): 315.3

#12 Vietnam

#12 Vietnam

Cumulative Probability of Default: 20.3%

Current 5-year Mid CDS (bps): 316.1

 

#13 Spain

#13 Spain

Image: AP

Cumulative Probability of Default: 18.9%

Current 5-year Mid CDS (bps): 233.1

 

#14 Hungary

#14 Hungary

Cumulative Probability of Default: 16.7%

Current 5-year Mid CDS (bps): 254.0

#15 Croatia

#15 Croatia

Cumulative Probability of Default: 15.5%

Current 5-year Mid CDS (bps): 236.4

 

#16 Romania

#16 Romania

Image: AP

Cumulative Probability of Default: 15.3%

Current 5-year Mid CDS (bps): 231.1

#17 Latvia

#17 Latvia

Cumulative Probability of Default: 15.0%

Current 5-year Mid CDS (bps): 227.8

#18 Lithuania

#18 Lithuania

Image: AP

Cumulative Probability of Default: 14.5%

Current 5-year Mid CDS (bps): 219

#19 India

#19 India

Image: AP Images

Cumulative Probability of Default: 13.7%

Current 5-year Mid CDS (bps): 161.8


#20 Bulgaria

#20 Bulgaria

Cumulative Probability of Default: 13.5%

Current 5-year Mid CDS (bps): 203.1

#21 Italy

#21 Italy

Image: AP

Cumulative Probability of Default: 12.5%

Current 5-year Mid CDS (bps): 149.5

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/the-21-countries-most-likely-to-default-2011-4#21-italy-1#ixzz1JyBXYZCG



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